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Glossary

Terminology used across AskMelon research reports and strategy pages. Hover any term for context.

Total Return

Cumulative percentage gain or loss over the backtested period. Shown with sign (+/−). Based on 3-year window.

Sharpe Ratio

Risk-adjusted return: (portfolio return − risk-free rate) ÷ volatility. ≥1.0 is strong, 0.5–1.0 is acceptable, <0 means underperformance for the risk taken.

Max Drawdown (Max DD)

Largest peak-to-trough decline in portfolio value during the period. A measure of downside risk. E.g. −20% means the portfolio fell 20% from its high before recovering.

Win Rate

Percentage of time periods (days, weeks, or months) in which the strategy produced a positive return. ≥50% means it was profitable more than half the time.

Alpha

Excess return relative to a market benchmark (e.g. S&P 500). Positive alpha = outperformed the market; negative alpha = underperformed.

Composite Score

Avg Return × Consistency × (1 − Avg |Max DD|). A single number capturing return, consistency across time windows, and drawdown safety. Computed over 1Y and 3Y rolling windows. Higher is better; >0.3 is strong.

Consistency

Percentage of rolling windows (six windows: three 1Y and three 3Y) in which the strategy produced a positive Sharpe ratio. 100% = profitable in every window tested; 50% = mixed.

Avg Return

Average return across all six rolling windows (three 1Y + three 3Y), horizon-weighted so longer windows don't get diluted by shorter ones.

Order Type

How a trade is placed. Market order: executes immediately at current price. Limit order: executes only at a specified price or better (reduces slippage, may not fill).

Entry Rule

The specific price condition that triggers a buy. E.g. 'Limit 0.5% below market' means bid at a 0.5% discount to avoid chasing the price.

Stop Loss

A pre-set price at which a losing position is automatically sold to cap losses. E.g. '8% below entry' means exit if price falls 8% from where you bought.

Take Profit

A pre-set price at which a winning position is sold to lock in gains. E.g. '12% above entry' means exit once the stock is up 12%.

Trailing Stop

A stop loss that moves up as the stock price rises, protecting gains. E.g. '5% trailing' means the exit trigger is always 5% below the recent high.

Scaling / Tranches

Entering a position gradually — e.g. buying ⅓ now, ⅓ in one week, ⅓ in two weeks. Reduces the risk of bad timing on a single entry.

Timing

Guidance on when in the trading session to place orders. E.g. 'avoid first 30 minutes' (high volatility) or 'buy before close on Fridays' (calendar effect).

Rebalance Frequency

How often the portfolio is reset to its target weights. Monthly, quarterly, or annually. More frequent rebalancing captures momentum but incurs more transaction costs.

Max Portfolio Allocation

Maximum percentage of total capital any single strategy may use. E.g. 9% means no more than $9,000 per $100,000 portfolio, limiting concentration risk.

Max DD Tolerance

The maximum drawdown the strategy is allowed to sustain before it is reassessed or paused. Acts as a circuit breaker.

Position Size

Percentage of the portfolio allocated to a single stock within the strategy. Sized by volatility: higher-vol stocks get smaller positions automatically.

Volatility (Vol)

Annualised standard deviation of daily returns. A measure of how much the price fluctuates. Higher vol = wider swings, so position sizes are reduced to keep dollar risk constant.

Winning Strategy

A strategy whose composite score and recent returns are positive. Shown with a green WINNING badge. Currently recommended for deployment.

Losing Strategy

A strategy with a negative composite score or that has underperformed recently. Shown with a red LOSING badge. Not recommended without further review.

Combined Strategy

A parent strategy that bundles multiple sub-strategies. Positions are the union of all sub-strategy positions, often diversified across sectors.

Trigger-Only Strategy

Only activates under specific market conditions (e.g. VIX spikes, earnings dates, macro events). Not a buy-and-hold strategy — deployed opportunistically.

HODL / Passive Strategy

A long-horizon buy-and-hold approach suitable for investors who don't actively trade. Evaluated over 5-year windows with metrics like Avg 5Y Return and Calmar Ratio.

Factor / Quant Strategy

Rules-based strategies derived from academic factors: value, momentum, quality, low-volatility, size. Systematic, no discretion.

Sector Rotation

A strategy that shifts capital between market sectors (tech, healthcare, energy, etc.) based on economic cycle, momentum, or macro signals.

Pre-Market Report

Research published before the US market opens at 9:30 AM ET. Covers overnight macro developments, earnings, economic data, and trade signals for the day.

Macro

Macroeconomic factors: interest rates (Fed policy), inflation (CPI/PCE), GDP growth, employment, currency moves. Drive broad market direction.

Catalyst

A specific near-term event that could move a stock: earnings release, FDA decision, product launch, regulatory ruling, or index rebalance.

Premarket Movers

Stocks with significant price or volume changes before the open (4–9:30 AM ET), often driven by earnings, news, or macro data released overnight.

Options Flow

Analysis of unusual options activity — large or asymmetric bets in calls or puts — as a signal of smart-money positioning before a move.

Breadth

A measure of how many stocks are participating in a market move. Strong breadth (most stocks rising) confirms a rally; weak breadth (few leaders) signals fragility.

Risk-Off / Risk-On

Risk-off: investors flee to safe assets (bonds, gold, USD) when uncertainty rises. Risk-on: money flows into equities and high-yield assets when confidence is high.

VIX

CBOE Volatility Index — the 'fear gauge'. Derived from S&P 500 options prices. VIX >20 = elevated fear; >30 = high fear; VIX <15 = complacency.

Slippage

The difference between expected execution price and actual fill price. Larger for illiquid stocks or large orders. Limit orders reduce slippage vs market orders.

Liquidity

How easily a stock can be bought or sold without moving the price. High liquidity: tight bid-ask spread, high average volume. Low liquidity: wide spreads, small float.

Short Selling

Borrowing shares and selling them, expecting the price to fall. Profit is made when bought back cheaper. Short strategies use SELL signals.

FLAT

A position of zero — neither long nor short. A FLAT signal means exit or don't open a position in that stock for this strategy cycle.

Drawdown Window

A period during which the portfolio is below its previous peak. Measured from peak to trough. Ended when the portfolio reaches a new all-time high.

Backtesting

Simulating a strategy's performance on historical data. Results on AskMelon cover 1Y and 3Y windows from 2022–2025. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Rolling Window

A fixed-length time period that advances forward in time (e.g. 2022, 2023, 2024 for 1Y windows). Used to measure consistency of returns across different market regimes.

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