Geopolitical oil inflation: long energy midstream + defense, short duration. 6-8% yield + appreciation.
Warflation Hedge (Oil Conflict Regime)
| Symbol | Action | Vol | Stop Loss | Take Profit | Size | Links |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPD | BUY | 17% | 10.8% below entry | 3.6% above entry | 8.5% | TVYH |
| LMT | BUY | 25% | 15.8% below entry | 5.3% above entry | 5.8% | TVYH |
| SHY | BUY | 2% | 7.5% below entry | 3.0% above entry | 12.3% | TVYH |
| ET | BUY | 23% | 14.4% below entry | 4.8% above entry | 6.4% | TVYH |
| WMB | BUY | 25% | 15.5% below entry | 5.2% above entry | 5.9% | TVYH |
| MPLX | BUY | 18% | 11.5% below entry | 3.8% above entry | 8.0% | TVYH |
| OKE | BUY | 28% | 17.9% below entry | 6.0% above entry | 5.1% | TVYH |
| RTX | BUY | 25% | 15.7% below entry | 5.2% above entry | 5.9% | TVYH |
| NOC | BUY | 26% | 16.1% below entry | 5.4% above entry | 5.7% | TVYH |
| ITA | BUY | 21% | 13.5% below entry | 4.5% above entry | 6.8% | TVYH |
This strategy has moderate long-term potential but requires monitoring. - Take profit: Rebalance when any position exceeds 2x its target weight. Trim back to target, redeploy to underweight positions. - Stop loss: NO price-based stop loss. This strategy recovered from -14% drawdown to return 151% long-term. - Exit rule: Review annually. Exit if strategy underperforms its benchmark for 3 consecutive years.