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WINNING

V Shape Recovery

Sharp crash → sharp rebound. Buy high-beta growth on confirmed V-recovery signal.

V-Shape Recovery (Sharp Bounce)

3Y
Total Return
+50.7%
3Y
Sharpe Ratio
0.97
3Y
Max Drawdown
-5.6%
3Y
Win Rate
57.4%
3Y
Alpha
-8.4%
3Y
Comp. Score *
0.05
Risk Parameters
Max Allocation23.4%
Stop Loss5.6%
Take Profit7.3%
Max DD Tolerance5.6%
Rebalanceweekly
Execution Guidance
Order TypeLimit
Entry RuleBuy 0.5% below market in uptrend.
TimingWAIT FOR SIGNAL: Only enter after a major crash (-15%+) when market starts recovering. *
ScalingEnter in 3 tranches over 1-2 weeks.
Positions — Vol-Adjusted Sizing
SymbolActionVol Stop LossTake ProfitSizeLinks
QQQ BUY 22% 5.1% below entry 6.7% above entry 25.7% TVYH
▶ For Passive Investors (Buy & Hold)

This strategy has moderate long-term potential but requires monitoring. - Take profit: Rebalance when any position exceeds 2x its target weight. Trim back to target, redeploy to underweight positions. - Stop loss: NO price-based stop loss. This strategy recovered from -45% drawdown to return 27% long-term. - Exit rule: Review annually. Exit if strategy underperforms its benchmark for 3 consecutive years.

Avg 5Y Return
19.6%
Avg 5Y Sharpe
0.14
10Y Return
27.2%
10Y Sharpe
-0.07
HODL Composite
0.09
Consistency
50%
Suitable for passive
No