Staffing stock weakness as unemployment proxy, rotate to defensives
Unemployment Claims Momentum
| Symbol | Action | Vol | Stop Loss | Take Profit | Size | Links |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLT | BUY | 13% | 5.0% below entry | 6.3% above entry | 12.7% | TVYH |
| XLP | BUY | 13% | 5.1% below entry | 6.5% above entry | 12.3% | TVYH |
| GLD | BUY | 23% | 9.1% below entry | 11.5% above entry | 7.0% | TVYH |
| XLV | BUY | 15% | 6.1% below entry | 7.7% above entry | 10.4% | TVYH |
| XLU | BUY | 16% | 6.2% below entry | 7.9% above entry | 10.2% | TVYH |
| VNQ | BUY | 15% | 6.0% below entry | 7.6% above entry | 10.6% | TVYH |
| IEF | BUY | 6% | 4.7% below entry | 6.0% above entry | 13.4% | TVYH |
| SPY | BUY | 17% | 6.8% below entry | 8.6% above entry | 9.4% | TVYH |
This strategy has moderate long-term potential but requires monitoring. - Take profit: Rebalance when any position exceeds 2x its target weight. Trim back to target, redeploy to underweight positions. - Stop loss: NO price-based stop loss. This strategy recovered from -26% drawdown to return 81% long-term. - Exit rule: Exit if 3+ holdings break below their long-term trend simultaneously.