Unemployment Momentum

Staffing stock weakness as unemployment proxy, rotate to defensives

Total Return

+104.2%

Sharpe Ratio

0.62

Max Drawdown

-10.5%

Win Rate

54.3%

Alpha

-38.5%

Comp. Score *

0.27

Risk Parameters

Max Allocation21.0%

Stop Loss8.4%

Take Profit16.2%

Max DD Tolerance10.5%

Rebalanceweekly

Execution Guidance

Order TypeLimit

Entry RuleBuy on RSI pullback to 40-50 in confirmed uptrend. Never chase.

TimingSAFE TO BUY. *

ScalingEnter 50% initial, add 25% on first pullback, final 25% on trend confirmation.

Positions — Vol-Adjusted Sizing

Symbol	Action	Vol	Stop Loss	Take Profit	Size	Links
TLT	BUY	12%	4.3% below entry	8.2% above entry	41.4%	TV YH
XLP	BUY	14%	4.8% below entry	9.2% above entry	37.0%	TV YH
GLD	BUY	23%	8.2% below entry	15.8% above entry	21.5%	TV YH
XLV	BUY	16%	5.6% below entry	10.8% above entry	31.6%	TV YH
XLU	BUY	16%	5.6% below entry	10.8% above entry	31.5%	TV YH
VNQ	BUY	15%	5.3% below entry	10.3% above entry	33.1%	TV YH
IEF	BUY	6%	4.2% below entry	8.1% above entry	42.0%	TV YH
SPY	BUY	16%	5.8% below entry	11.1% above entry	30.5%	TV YH