Shipping Freight Cycle

Global shipping cycle: container/bulk shippers + freight ETFs

Total Return

+32.7%

Sharpe Ratio

0.46

Max Drawdown

-19.4%

Win Rate

51.5%

Alpha

-56.5%

Comp. Score *

0.10

Risk Parameters

Max Allocation6.3%

Stop Loss29.1%

Take Profit15.0%

Max DD Tolerance19.4%

Rebalanceweekly

Execution Guidance

Order TypeLimit

Entry RuleBuy on golden cross (SMA50 > SMA200). These are CYCLE trades — timing matters.

TimingSAFE TO BUY. *

ScalingEnter 30% at signal, add 30% on confirmation, hold 40% for cycle peak.

Positions — Vol-Adjusted Sizing

Symbol	Action	Vol	Stop Loss	Take Profit	Size	Links
SEA	BUY	20%	24.2% below entry	12.5% above entry	7.6%	TV YH
CHRW	BUY	38%	40.0% below entry	24.1% above entry	3.9%	TV YH
EXPD	BUY	28%	34.2% below entry	17.6% above entry	5.3%	TV YH
GNK	BUY	35%	40.0% below entry	21.9% above entry	4.3%	TV YH
ZIM	BUY	64%	40.0% below entry	40.5% above entry	2.3%	TV YH
EGLE	BUY	12%	14.6% below entry	7.5% above entry	12.5%	TV YH
SBLK	BUY	34%	40.0% below entry	21.3% above entry	4.4%	TV YH
MATX	BUY	40%	40.0% below entry	24.9% above entry	3.8%	TV YH