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WINNING

Retail Crash Ecommerce

Brick-and-mortar crash accelerates e-commerce: XRT↓ = AMZN/SHOP/MELI↑

3Y
Total Return
+51.1%
3Y
Sharpe Ratio
0.76
3Y
Max Drawdown
-20.5%
3Y
Win Rate
53.0%
3Y
Alpha
-51.6%
3Y
Comp. Score *
0.04
Risk Parameters
Max Allocation10.7%
Stop Loss15.0%
Take Profit8.0%
Max DD Tolerance20.5%
Rebalanceweekly
Execution Guidance
Order TypeMarket
Entry RuleEnter immediately when trigger fires. Speed matters more than price.
TimingWAIT FOR SIGNAL: Only enter when retail sector is collapsing. *
ScalingFull position at trigger. No scaling — the signal is binary.
Positions — Vol-Adjusted Sizing
SymbolActionVol Stop LossTake ProfitSizeLinks
AMZN BUY 34% 21.4% below entry 11.4% above entry 7.5% TVYH
SHOP BUY 59% 37.3% below entry 19.9% above entry 4.3% TVYH