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WINNING

Presidential Cycle

Year 3 strongest (+13.5% avg). Adjust exposure by cycle year

3Y
Total Return
+111.8%
3Y
Sharpe Ratio
1.02
3Y
Max Drawdown
-9.2%
3Y
Win Rate
56.8%
3Y
Alpha
-36.9%
3Y
Comp. Score *
0.41
Risk Parameters
Max Allocation19.8%
Stop Loss10.0%
Take Profit14.3%
Max DD Tolerance9.2%
Rebalancemonthly
Execution Guidance
Order TypeLimit
Entry RuleBuy on policy announcement day or day after. Backlogs are locked — dips are gifts.
TimingSAFE TO BUY. *
ScalingEnter 60% immediately on catalyst, add 40% if pullback within 2 weeks.
Positions — Vol-Adjusted Sizing
SymbolActionVol Stop LossTake ProfitSizeLinks
SPY BUY 16% 6.9% below entry 9.8% above entry 28.8% TVYH
QQQ BUY 22% 9.2% below entry 13.1% above entry 21.6% TVYH
TLT BUY 12% 5.1% below entry 7.2% above entry 39.0% TVYH
GLD BUY 23% 9.8% below entry 13.9% above entry 20.3% TVYH
IWM BUY 21% 9.0% below entry 12.9% above entry 22.0% TVYH