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Polymarket Signal
Political uncertainty→defensive, stability→risk-on (Polymarket proxy)
Risk Parameters
Max Allocation22.1%
Stop Loss11.3%
Take Profit14.3%
Max DD Tolerance11.3%
Rebalanceweekly
Execution Guidance
Order TypeMarket
Entry RuleUse market orders for volatile names.
TimingSAFE TO BUY. *
ScalingEnter in 3 tranches over 1-2 weeks.
Positions — Vol-Adjusted Sizing
| Symbol | Action | Vol |
Stop Loss | Take Profit | Size | Links |
| TLT |
BUY |
12% |
5.7% below entry |
7.3% above entry |
43.5% |
TVYH |
| GLD |
BUY |
23% |
11.0% below entry |
14.0% above entry |
22.6% |
TVYH |
| SPY |
BUY |
16% |
7.8% below entry |
9.9% above entry |
32.1% |
TVYH |
| QQQ |
BUY |
22% |
10.3% below entry |
13.1% above entry |
24.1% |
TVYH |