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LOSING

Muni Bond Income

Tax-free municipal bonds: 4% muni = 6%+ taxable. Near-zero default risk.

Muni Bond Tax-Free Income

3Y
Total Return
+11.0%
3Y
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07
3Y
Max Drawdown
-7.4%
3Y
Win Rate
54.6%
3Y
Alpha
-19.6%
3Y
Comp. Score *
0.01
Risk Parameters
Max Allocation0.0%
Stop Loss20.0%
Take Profit8.0%
Max DD Tolerance7.4%
Rebalanceweekly
Execution Guidance
Order TypeLimit
Entry RuleBuy on ex-dividend date dips or when yield exceeds 5-year average.
TimingSAFE TO BUY. *
ScalingBuild position over 4-6 weeks. Reinvest all dividends.
Positions — Vol-Adjusted Sizing
SymbolActionVol Stop LossTake ProfitSizeLinks
VTEB BUY 4% 10.0% below entry 4.0% above entry 0.0% TVYH
MUB BUY 4% 10.0% below entry 4.0% above entry 0.0% TVYH
NUV BUY 7% 10.0% below entry 4.0% above entry 0.0% TVYH
HYD BUY 6% 10.0% below entry 4.0% above entry 0.0% TVYH
TFI BUY 4% 10.0% below entry 4.0% above entry 0.0% TVYH
NEA BUY 10% 10.0% below entry 4.0% above entry 0.0% TVYH
▶ For Passive Investors (Buy & Hold)

This strategy has moderate long-term potential but requires monitoring. - Take profit: Rebalance when any position exceeds 2x its target weight. Trim back to target, redeploy to underweight positions. - Stop loss: NO price-based stop loss. This strategy recovered from -18% drawdown to return 25% long-term. - Exit rule: Exit if yield drops below historical average for 2 quarters. Reinvest all dividends.

Avg 5Y Return
12.3%
Avg 5Y Sharpe
-0.22
10Y Return
24.8%
10Y Sharpe
-0.26
HODL Composite
0.05
Consistency
35%
Suitable for passive
No