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Michael Burry

Deep value contrarian: buy capitulation, bet against consensus

Michael Burry (Contrarian)

3Y
Total Return
+10.7%
3Y
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03
3Y
Max Drawdown
-7.6%
3Y
Win Rate
24.9%
3Y
Alpha
-19.7%
3Y
Comp. Score *
-0.01
Risk Parameters
Max Allocation0.0%
Stop Loss7.6%
Take Profit5.0%
Max DD Tolerance7.6%
Rebalanceweekly
Execution Guidance
Order TypeLimit
Entry RuleBuy 0.5% below market in uptrend.
TimingSAFE TO BUY. *
ScalingEnter in 3 tranches over 1-2 weeks.
Positions — Vol-Adjusted Sizing
SymbolActionVol Stop LossTake ProfitSizeLinks
AAPL FLAT 29% 9.2% below entry 6.0% above entry 0.0% TVYH
GOOGL FLAT 30% 9.6% below entry 6.3% above entry 0.0% TVYH
META FLAT 36% 11.6% below entry 7.6% above entry 0.0% TVYH
AMZN FLAT 33% 10.6% below entry 6.9% above entry 0.0% TVYH
CVX FLAT 23% 7.5% below entry 4.9% above entry 0.0% TVYH
XOM FLAT 24% 7.6% below entry 4.9% above entry 0.0% TVYH
JNJ FLAT 18% 5.7% below entry 3.7% above entry 0.0% TVYH
PFE FLAT 25% 7.9% below entry 5.1% above entry 0.0% TVYH
BAC FLAT 26% 8.3% below entry 5.4% above entry 0.0% TVYH
C FLAT 32% 10.2% below entry 6.7% above entry 0.0% TVYH
GS FLAT 31% 10.0% below entry 6.6% above entry 0.0% TVYH
WFC FLAT 31% 9.8% below entry 6.4% above entry 0.0% TVYH
▶ For Passive Investors (Buy & Hold)

This strategy is NOT recommended for passive investing. - Take profit: Take profit at +50%. This strategy is inconsistent — capture gains when available. - Stop loss: Reduce position by 50% at -25% drawdown. Consistency is only 14%. - Exit rule: Review semi-annually. Exit if strategy thesis no longer holds based on fundamental analysis.

Avg 5Y Return
-7.4%
Avg 5Y Sharpe
-0.3
10Y Return
-10.4%
10Y Sharpe
-0.3
HODL Composite
-0.01
Consistency
14%
Suitable for passive
No