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WINNING

Gross Profitability Value

High gross profitability + value combination (Novy-Marx 2013)

Gross profit / total assets predicts returns with power equal to value metrics. 3.7-4.4% annual premium. 6.37% alpha when combined with value

3Y
Total Return
+65.8%
3Y
Sharpe Ratio
0.91
3Y
Max Drawdown
-15.7%
3Y
Win Rate
55.9%
3Y
Alpha
-47.0%
3Y
Comp. Score *
0.21
Risk Parameters
Max Allocation12.2%
Stop Loss18.9%
Take Profit14.7%
Max DD Tolerance15.7%
Rebalancemonthly
Execution Guidance
Order TypeLimit
Entry RuleBuy below SMA200 or at RSI < 35. Value = patience. Don't rush.
TimingSAFE TO BUY. *
ScalingEnter in 3 tranches over 4-6 weeks as price confirms bottom.
Positions — Vol-Adjusted Sizing
SymbolActionVol Stop LossTake ProfitSizeLinks
V BUY 22% 17.2% below entry 13.4% above entry 13.4% TVYH
MCD BUY 18% 14.3% below entry 11.2% above entry 16.1% TVYH
MA BUY 22% 17.0% below entry 13.3% above entry 13.5% TVYH
SBUX BUY 36% 28.5% below entry 22.3% above entry 8.1% TVYH
YUM BUY 22% 17.3% below entry 13.5% above entry 13.3% TVYH
COST BUY 21% 16.3% below entry 12.7% above entry 14.1% TVYH
CMG BUY 37% 29.1% below entry 22.7% above entry 7.9% TVYH
AAPL BUY 29% 22.7% below entry 17.7% above entry 10.2% TVYH
NKE BUY 40% 32.0% below entry 25.0% above entry 7.2% TVYH
MSFT BUY 24% 19.3% below entry 15.0% above entry 11.9% TVYH
GOOGL BUY 30% 23.7% below entry 18.5% above entry 9.7% TVYH
▶ For Passive Investors (Buy & Hold)

This strategy is suitable for passive investing. - Take profit: Rebalance when any position exceeds 2x its target weight. Trim back to target, redeploy to underweight positions. - Stop loss: NO price-based stop loss. This strategy recovered from 31% drawdown to deliver positive long-term returns. - Exit rule: Review annually. Exit if strategy underperforms its benchmark for 3 consecutive years.

Avg 5Y Return
146.6%
Avg 5Y Sharpe
0.85
10Y Return
438.2%
10Y Sharpe
0.82
HODL Composite
1.25
Consistency
96%
Suitable for passive
Yes