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Global Pharma Pipeline

Global pharma at value: Roche, AZN, MRK, GSK, TAK — deep pipelines, patent cliff fears

Global Pharma Pipeline

3Y
Total Return
+37.2%
3Y
Sharpe Ratio
0.55
3Y
Max Drawdown
-17.3%
3Y
Win Rate
52.3%
3Y
Alpha
-12.0%
3Y
Comp. Score *
0.07
Risk Parameters
Max Allocation7.1%
Stop Loss17.3%
Take Profit5.6%
Max DD Tolerance17.3%
Rebalanceweekly
Execution Guidance
Order TypeLimit
Entry RuleBuy 0.5% below market in uptrend.
TimingSAFE TO BUY. *
ScalingEnter in 3 tranches over 1-2 weeks.
Positions — Vol-Adjusted Sizing
SymbolActionVol Stop LossTake ProfitSizeLinks
RHHBY BUY 26% 19.0% below entry 6.1% above entry 6.5% TVYH
BAYRY BUY 39% 28.7% below entry 9.2% above entry 4.3% TVYH
NVS BUY 20% 14.7% below entry 4.7% above entry 8.4% TVYH
TAK BUY 20% 14.4% below entry 4.6% above entry 8.6% TVYH
AZN BUY 25% 17.9% below entry 5.8% above entry 6.9% TVYH
MRK BUY 27% 19.9% below entry 6.4% above entry 6.2% TVYH
LLY BUY 38% 27.8% below entry 8.9% above entry 4.4% TVYH
▶ For Passive Investors (Buy & Hold)

This strategy has moderate long-term potential but requires monitoring. - Take profit: Rebalance when any position exceeds 2x its target weight. Trim back to target, redeploy to underweight positions. - Stop loss: NO price-based stop loss. This strategy recovered from -21% drawdown to return 68% long-term. - Exit rule: Review annually. Exit if strategy underperforms its benchmark for 3 consecutive years.

Avg 5Y Return
39.7%
Avg 5Y Sharpe
0.27
10Y Return
68.3%
10Y Sharpe
0.16
HODL Composite
0.25
Consistency
82%
Suitable for passive
No