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WINNING

Election Cycle Rotation

Sector rotation by presidential cycle year. Year 3 = max growth

3Y
Total Return
+26.3%
3Y
Sharpe Ratio
0.51
3Y
Max Drawdown
-7.2%
3Y
Win Rate
54.2%
3Y
Alpha
-57.3%
3Y
Comp. Score *
0.05
Risk Parameters
Max Allocation8.6%
Stop Loss10.0%
Take Profit10.0%
Max DD Tolerance7.2%
Rebalancemonthly
Execution Guidance
Order TypeLimit
Entry RuleBuy on policy announcement day or day after. Backlogs are locked — dips are gifts.
TimingSAFE TO BUY. *
ScalingEnter 60% immediately on catalyst, add 40% if pullback within 2 weeks.
Positions — Vol-Adjusted Sizing
SymbolActionVol Stop LossTake ProfitSizeLinks
TLT BUY 12% 5.1% below entry 5.1% above entry 16.9% TVYH
GLD BUY 23% 9.8% below entry 9.8% above entry 8.8% TVYH
XLY BUY 22% 9.3% below entry 9.3% above entry 9.2% TVYH
XLF BUY 17% 7.2% below entry 7.2% above entry 11.9% TVYH