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LOSING

Constellation Contrarian

STZ 49.8% DCF discount, EFX 34%, NKE permanent moat — most mispriced wide-moat stocks

3Y
Total Return
+0.9%
3Y
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13
3Y
Max Drawdown
-25.9%
3Y
Win Rate
49.0%
3Y
Alpha
-66.1%
3Y
Comp. Score *
-0.00
Risk Parameters
Max Allocation0.0%
Stop Loss30.0%
Take Profit10.0%
Max DD Tolerance25.9%
Rebalanceweekly
Execution Guidance
Order TypeLimit
Entry RuleBuy below SMA200 or at RSI < 35. Value = patience. Don't rush.
TimingSAFE TO BUY. *
ScalingEnter in 3 tranches over 4-6 weeks as price confirms bottom.
Positions — Vol-Adjusted Sizing
SymbolActionVol Stop LossTake ProfitSizeLinks
LULU BUY 46% 40.0% below entry 19.2% above entry 0.0% TVYH
NKE BUY 39% 40.0% below entry 16.4% above entry 0.0% TVYH
EFX BUY 36% 40.0% below entry 15.1% above entry 0.0% TVYH
SAM BUY 34% 40.0% below entry 14.1% above entry 0.0% TVYH
DEO BUY 29% 36.8% below entry 12.3% above entry 0.0% TVYH
BUD BUY 24% 30.7% below entry 10.2% above entry 0.0% TVYH
PVH BUY 48% 40.0% below entry 20.0% above entry 0.0% TVYH
MNST BUY 131% 40.0% below entry 30.0% above entry 0.0% TVYH
STZ BUY 30% 37.6% below entry 12.5% above entry 0.0% TVYH