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Cloud Cyber Value

Cloud/cyber non-discretionary spend: buy dips in Cloudflare, Datadog, CrowdStrike, Palo Alto

Cloud & Cybersecurity Value

3Y
Total Return
+42.9%
3Y
Sharpe Ratio
0.43
3Y
Max Drawdown
-29.5%
3Y
Win Rate
54.2%
3Y
Alpha
-10.5%
3Y
Comp. Score *
0.03
Risk Parameters
Max Allocation5.2%
Stop Loss30.0%
Take Profit10.1%
Max DD Tolerance29.5%
Rebalanceweekly
Execution Guidance
Order TypeLimit
Entry RuleBuy below SMA200 or at RSI < 35. Value = patience. Don't rush.
TimingSAFE TO BUY. *
ScalingEnter in 3 tranches over 4-6 weeks as price confirms bottom.
Positions — Vol-Adjusted Sizing
SymbolActionVol Stop LossTake ProfitSizeLinks
PANW BUY 35% 40.0% below entry 15.1% above entry 3.5% TVYH
NET BUY 52% 40.0% below entry 22.0% above entry 2.4% TVYH
FTNT BUY 41% 40.0% below entry 17.5% above entry 3.0% TVYH
SNOW BUY 54% 40.0% below entry 23.2% above entry 2.3% TVYH
S BUY 47% 40.0% below entry 20.0% above entry 2.7% TVYH
▶ For Passive Investors (Buy & Hold)

This strategy has moderate long-term potential but requires monitoring. - Take profit: Rebalance when any position exceeds 2x its target weight. Trim back to target, redeploy to underweight positions. - Stop loss: NO price-based stop loss. This strategy recovered from -52% drawdown to return 86% long-term. - Exit rule: Exit if free cash flow turns negative for 2 quarters — value trap confirmed.

Avg 5Y Return
53.7%
Avg 5Y Sharpe
0.33
10Y Return
85.8%
10Y Sharpe
0.22
HODL Composite
0.22
Consistency
67%
Suitable for passive
No