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WINNING

Buyback Yield Systematic

Companies reducing share count via buybacks outperform over time

Net stock issuance anomaly — conservative issuance firms outperformed aggressive diluters over 30 years (amplified post-COVID)

3Y
Total Return
+25.1%
3Y
Sharpe Ratio
0.66
3Y
Max Drawdown
-5.5%
3Y
Win Rate
53.1%
3Y
Alpha
-58.6%
3Y
Comp. Score *
0.07
Risk Parameters
Max Allocation10.6%
Stop Loss5.5%
Take Profit5.0%
Max DD Tolerance5.5%
Rebalancemonthly
Execution Guidance
Order TypeLimit
Entry RuleBuy 0.5% below market in uptrend.
TimingSAFE TO BUY. *
ScalingEnter in 3 tranches over 1-2 weeks.
Positions — Vol-Adjusted Sizing
SymbolActionVol Stop LossTake ProfitSizeLinks
SHY BUY 2% 2.7% below entry 3.0% above entry 21.2% TVYH
PKW BUY 17% 3.9% below entry 3.6% above entry 14.9% TVYH
▶ For Passive Investors (Buy & Hold)

This strategy is not recommended for passive investing. - Take profit: Rebalance when any position exceeds 2x its target weight. Trim back to target, redeploy to underweight positions. - Stop loss: Consider a -25% portfolio-level stop loss. - Exit rule: Review annually. Exit if strategy underperforms its benchmark for 3 consecutive years.

Avg 5Y Return
28.7%
Avg 5Y Sharpe
0.20
10Y Return
53.9%
10Y Sharpe
0.10
HODL Composite
0.16
Consistency
68%
Suitable for passive
No