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WINNING

Breadth Divergence

Defensive when breadth narrows (QQQ >> RSP), offensive when broad participation

Breadth Divergence

3Y
Total Return
+84.8%
3Y
Sharpe Ratio
1.38
3Y
Max Drawdown
-14.4%
3Y
Win Rate
56.1%
3Y
Alpha
-0.3%
3Y
Comp. Score *
0.37
Risk Parameters
Max Allocation16.0%
Stop Loss14.4%
Take Profit11.4%
Max DD Tolerance14.4%
Rebalanceweekly
Execution Guidance
Order TypeLimit
Entry RuleBuy 0.5% below market in uptrend.
TimingSAFE TO BUY. *
ScalingEnter in 3 tranches over 1-2 weeks.
Positions — Vol-Adjusted Sizing
SymbolActionVol Stop LossTake ProfitSizeLinks
GLD BUY 23% 13.9% below entry 11.0% above entry 16.6% TVYH
SCHD BUY 14% 8.6% below entry 6.8% above entry 26.9% TVYH
TLT BUY 13% 7.6% below entry 6.0% above entry 30.3% TVYH
AAPL BUY 29% 17.4% below entry 13.7% above entry 13.3% TVYH
MSFT BUY 24% 14.8% below entry 11.7% above entry 15.6% TVYH
NVDA BUY 49% 29.5% below entry 23.3% above entry 7.8% TVYH
QQQ BUY 22% 13.2% below entry 10.4% above entry 17.5% TVYH
▶ For Passive Investors (Buy & Hold)

This strategy is suitable for passive investing. - Take profit: Rebalance when any position exceeds 2x its target weight. Trim back to target, redeploy to underweight positions. - Stop loss: NO price-based stop loss. This strategy recovered from -20% drawdown to return 407% long-term. - Exit rule: Review annually. Exit if strategy underperforms its benchmark for 3 consecutive years.

Avg 5Y Return
132.3%
Avg 5Y Sharpe
1.0
10Y Return
407.3%
10Y Sharpe
0.97
HODL Composite
1.46
Consistency
96%
Suitable for passive
Yes