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Ai Infra Picks Shovels

Arms dealer strategy: wins regardless of which AI company dominates

Every AI company needs chips, data centers, networking, power, and memory. The infrastructure layer wins regardless of which model company leads.

3Y
Total Return
+329.1%
3Y
Sharpe Ratio
1.56
3Y
Max Drawdown
-38.9%
3Y
Win Rate
56.7%
3Y
Alpha
-3.6%
3Y
Comp. Score *
0.72
Risk Parameters
Max Allocation14.7%
Stop Loss25.0%
Take Profit31.4%
Max DD Tolerance38.9%
Rebalancemonthly
Execution Guidance
Order TypeMarket
Entry RuleUse market orders for volatile names.
TimingSAFE TO BUY. *
ScalingEnter in 3 tranches over 1-2 weeks.
Positions — Vol-Adjusted Sizing
SymbolActionVol Stop LossTake ProfitSizeLinks
ETN BUY 35% 37.0% below entry 46.4% above entry 9.9% TVYH
TSM BUY 42% 40.0% below entry 54.8% above entry 8.4% TVYH
ARM BUY 63% 40.0% below entry 82.7% above entry 5.6% TVYH
VRT BUY 67% 40.0% below entry 88.1% above entry 5.2% TVYH
ANET BUY 53% 40.0% below entry 69.5% above entry 6.6% TVYH
CEG BUY 60% 40.0% below entry 78.9% above entry 5.8% TVYH
VST BUY 64% 40.0% below entry 84.4% above entry 5.5% TVYH
AMD BUY 57% 40.0% below entry 74.8% above entry 6.2% TVYH
EQIX BUY 26% 26.9% below entry 33.8% above entry 13.7% TVYH
DLR BUY 26% 27.1% below entry 34.1% above entry 13.5% TVYH
AVGO BUY 55% 40.0% below entry 72.5% above entry 6.4% TVYH
ASML BUY 45% 40.0% below entry 58.9% above entry 7.8% TVYH
AMAT BUY 48% 40.0% below entry 62.9% above entry 7.3% TVYH
LRCX BUY 52% 40.0% below entry 68.0% above entry 6.8% TVYH
MRVL BUY 66% 40.0% below entry 86.5% above entry 5.3% TVYH
NVDA BUY 32% 33.3% below entry 41.8% above entry 11.0% TVYH
CLS BUY 32% 33.3% below entry 41.8% above entry 11.0% TVYH
MU BUY 32% 33.3% below entry 41.8% above entry 11.0% TVYH
▶ For Passive Investors (Buy & Hold)

Strong long-horizon compounder. Suitable as a core or satellite holding (5-15% of portfolio). Rebalance quarterly or annually.

Avg 5Y Return
303.6%
Avg 5Y Sharpe
1.03
Avg 5Y Max DD
-34.5%
10Y Return (2015-2024)
1485.4%
10Y Sharpe
1.06
10Y Max DD
-38.5%
HODL Composite
3.14
Windows Tested
28
Consistency
93%