Agriculture Food

Fertilizer + agriculture: food crisis beneficiaries

Agriculture & Food Security

Total Return

-34.9%

Sharpe Ratio

-1.51

Max Drawdown

-36.3%

Win Rate

46.7%

Alpha

-36.5%

Comp. Score *

-0.02

Risk Parameters

Max Allocation0.0%

Stop Loss25.0%

Take Profit5.0%

Max DD Tolerance36.3%

Rebalanceweekly

Execution Guidance

Order TypeLimit

Entry RuleBuy 0.5% below market in uptrend.

TimingSAFE TO BUY. *

ScalingEnter in 3 tranches over 1-2 weeks.

Positions — Vol-Adjusted Sizing

Symbol	Action	Vol	Stop Loss	Take Profit	Size	Links
CTVA	BUY	25%	26.3% below entry	5.3% above entry	0.0%	TV YH
NTR	BUY	29%	30.6% below entry	6.1% above entry	0.0%	TV YH
MOO	BUY	16%	16.6% below entry	3.3% above entry	0.0%	TV YH
DBA	BUY	13%	13.9% below entry	3.0% above entry	0.0%	TV YH

▶ For Passive Investors (Buy & Hold)

This strategy has moderate long-term potential but requires monitoring. - Take profit: Rebalance when any position exceeds 2x its target weight. Trim back to target, redeploy to underweight positions. - Stop loss: NO price-based stop loss. This strategy recovered from -49% drawdown to return 36% long-term. - Exit rule: Review annually. Exit if strategy underperforms its benchmark for 3 consecutive years.

Avg 5Y Return

45.6%

Avg 5Y Sharpe

0.25

10Y Return

36.5%

10Y Sharpe

0.01

HODL Composite

0.14

Consistency

53%

Suitable for passive